Nate Silver is the baddest-ass statistician to ever bother with politics. I could go on about his baseball sabermetrician background, but he just humbled half of the political world, again, many of whom swore he was too stupid or arrogant to know better. So why bother. He dead-nailed this election just like he did the last one. The pundits who called him partisan or wayward (or effeminate) have been humbled past recognition. Nate Silver tonight takes second trophy only with respect to President Obama.
Here were his odds on the contest:
10 to 1 against Romney. And the election was never close. Rush Limbaugh, Peggy Noonan and Michael Barone said it would be a Romney rout, and they were idiots. What a raft of mindless, baseless predictions. And while the popular vote continues to come in, let’s look at Nate again:
Here’s the latest count, 2:34 a.m. PDT:
Crunch those numbers and this is what you get:
The President is winning the popular vote, 50.944% to 49.055%. Nate has done the impossible again, he’s gotten it right. Kudos to him and his scientific methods. This highlights the issue of right-wingers’ mistrust of facts and figures in their political lives. Jesus bless their unease.